Despite my lack of confidence in my nomination predictions, it was a fairly average showing for me in the end. Not my worst result, but certainly not my best, either.
As for predicting the winners, this feels like one of the most up-in-the-air races for a long time. Even some top categories, like Film Editing and Original Song, are completely wide open with no obvious frontrunners. Then there's Best Actress, which could go in almost any direction. In fact, at least four of the nominated leading ladies could realistically win on Oscar night. This is honestly shaping up to be a very unpredictable ceremony.
That said, despite all that unpredictability, Best Picture seems like it's Nomadland's to lose. Not since Birdman six years ago have I correctly picked the top prize, so this might be the year I finally make a successful prediction in this category. Mind you, upsets and surprises are Best Picture's specialty, so I probably shouldn't get too cocky.
We'll find out all the answers in a couple of days, but for now, here are my predictions for this year's Oscar winners.
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Hi Matt: Sorry I can't offer a counterpoint to your selections. I've only seen four of the eight Best Picture nominees, and those I saw were from home. For what it's worth I agree with all your major category choices. I also agree that Best Actress is the toughest one to pick. As much as I love Viola Davis's work, and I think she just may win this year, I'd have to go with Carey Mulligan. "Ma Rainey's ..." just struck me as a two hour argue-fest and very stagey.
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